Championship

Championship | Gameweek 42

Apr 11, 2025 at 8pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
2 - 1
Norwich

Mejbri (14'), Anthony (24')
Cullen (35'), Edwards (68')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Stacey (76')
Sainz (60'), Ben Slimane (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Burnley and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 0-0 Burnley
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 0-0 Sunderland
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Norwich City
56.3% ( 0.07)	24.59% ( -0.02)	19.1% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 45.65% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.91% (

0.01)

55.09% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.65% (

76.35% (

-0.01)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.52% (

0.03)

19.48% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.65% (

0.05)

51.35% (

-0.05)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.69% (

-0.05)

43.31% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.45% (

-0.05)

79.55% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Burnley 56.3%

Norwich City 19.1%

Draw 24.59%

Burnley	Draw	Norwich City
1-0 @ 13.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0) Other @ 3.69% Total : 56.3%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.44% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 24.59%	0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 19.1%

How you voted: Burnley vs Norwich

Burnley

87.7%

Draw

4.7%

Norwich City

7.5%

Head to Head

Dec 15, 2024 3pm

Gameweek 21

Norwich

1-2

Burnley

Cordoba (2')
Doyle (46'), Crnac (53'), Sainz (87')

Flemming (68'), Brownhill (76')
Trafford (87')

> Preview

Feb 4, 2023 12.30pm

Gameweek 30

Norwich

0-3

Burnley

Zaroury (8'), Vitinho (54'), Ekdal (60')

> Preview

Oct 25, 2022 8pm

Gameweek 9

Burnley

1-0

Norwich

Rodriguez (82' pen.)

> Preview

Apr 10, 2022 2pm

Gameweek 32

Norwich

2-0

Burnley

Lees-Melou (9'), Pukki (86')
Lees-Melou (26')

Taylor (78')

> Preview

Oct 2, 2021 3pm

Gameweek 7

Burnley

0-0

Norwich

Tarkowski (11'), Wood (24'), Lowton (25'), Brownhill (33'), Rodriguez (49')

Normann (27'), Aarons (74')

> Preview

Form Guide

Derby 0-0 Burnley

Coventry 1-2 Burnley

Burnley 1-0 Bristol City

Swansea 0-2 Burnley

Burnley 1-1 West Brom

Burnley 4-0 Luton

Norwich 0-0 Sunderland

Plymouth 2-1 Norwich

Norwich 1-0 West Brom

Bristol City 2-1 Norwich

Norwich 2-3 Sheff Weds

Norwich 1-1 Oxford Utd

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table