Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Burnley2 - 1Norwich
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derby 0-0 Burnley
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Championship
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-0 Sunderland
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Championship
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
62
We said: Burnley 1-0 Norwich City
A combination of Burnley's brilliant home record and Norwich's recent downturn should see the Clarets pick up three precious points. Taking them top of the Championship - for a few hours, at least - the hosts can score once and then rely on their rock-solid defence. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Norwich City |
56.3% ( 0.07) | 24.59% ( -0.02) | 19.1% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 45.65% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
