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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 15, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Burnley logo

Norwich
1 - 2
Burnley

Cordoba (2')
Doyle (46'), Crnac (53'), Sainz (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Flemming (68'), Brownhill (76')
Trafford (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Norwich
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Derby
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBurnley
45.57% (1.056 1.06)25.22% (0.199 0.2)29.21% (-1.252 -1.25)
Both teams to score 54.47% (-1.38 -1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.18% (-1.477 -1.48)48.82% (1.48 1.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.08% (-1.355 -1.36)70.92% (1.357 1.36)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.57% (-0.139 -0.14)21.43% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.56% (-0.217 -0.22)54.45% (0.22 0.22)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.33% (-1.627 -1.63)30.67% (1.63 1.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09% (-1.968 -1.97)66.91% (1.971 1.97)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 45.57%
    Burnley 29.21%
    Draw 25.22%
Norwich CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.12% (0.557 0.56)
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.8% (0.4 0.4)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 4% (0.189 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.066 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 45.57%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.57% (0.39 0.39)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.209 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 7.77% (0.124 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-2 @ 4.59% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.228 -0.23)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.185 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 29.21%

How you voted: Norwich vs Burnley

Norwich City
37.1%
Draw
22.9%
Burnley
40.0%
70
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 30
Norwich
0-3
Burnley
Zaroury (8'), Vitinho (54'), Ekdal (60')
Oct 25, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 9
Burnley
1-0
Norwich
Rodriguez (82' pen.)
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 32
Norwich
2-0
Burnley
Lees-Melou (9'), Pukki (86')
Lees-Melou (26')

Taylor (78')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Burnley
0-0
Norwich
Tarkowski (11'), Wood (24'), Lowton (25'), Brownhill (33'), Rodriguez (49')
Normann (27'), Aarons (74')
Jul 18, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 37
Norwich
0-2
Burnley
rhs 2.0


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