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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 44%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Coventry City | 
| 44% (  -0.26) | 25.59% (  -0.07) | 30.41% (  0.33) | 
| Both teams to score 53.96% (  0.41) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.2% (  0.45) | 49.79% (  -0.45) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.2% (  0.4) | 71.8% (  -0.4) | 
| Burnley Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.43% (  0.07) | 22.57% (  -0.07) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.84% (  0.1) | 56.16% (  -0.1) | 
| Coventry City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.69% (  0.46) | 30.31% (  -0.46) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.5% (  0.55) | 66.49% (  -0.55) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Burnley | Draw | Coventry City | 
| 1-0 @ 10.18% (  -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.05% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.58% (  -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.49% (  0) 3-0 @ 3.76% (  -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.68% (  0.04) 4-1 @ 1.67% (  0.01) 4-0 @ 1.4% (  -0.01) 4-2 @ 1% (  0.02) Other @ 2.19% Total : 44% | 1-1 @ 12.15% (  -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.84% (  -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.4% (  0.06) 3-3 @ 1.07% (  0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.16% (  -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.25% (  0.07) 0-2 @ 4.87% (  0.04) 1-3 @ 2.89% (  0.06) 2-3 @ 2.15% (  0.05) 0-3 @ 1.94% (  0.04) Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.41% |