Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 65.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Coventry City had a probability of 14.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Coventry City win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.