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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
Derby logo

Coventry
1 - 2
Derby

Sakamoto (77')
Eccles (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yates (11'), Thomas (73' og.)
Cashin (34'), Adams (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-3 Coventry
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Derby
Saturday, November 2 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 2-1 Derby County

After a handsome victory in the North-East on the weekend, Coventry should be confident of putting newly-promoted Derby to the sword at the CBS Arena. The Rams struggle massively away from their Pride Park fortress, and we cannot envisage the visitors earning anything from this Midlands derby on Wednesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Coventry CityDrawDerby County
46.27% (0.503 0.5) 24.42% (0.429 0.43) 29.31% (-0.934 -0.93)
Both teams to score 57.19% (-2.064 -2.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.71% (-2.459 -2.46)45.29% (2.457 2.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.37% (-2.397 -2.4)67.63% (2.395 2.4)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.32% (-0.776 -0.78)19.69% (0.775 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.32% (-1.274 -1.27)51.68% (1.272 1.27)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2% (-1.866 -1.87)28.8% (1.864 1.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.35% (-2.384 -2.38)64.65% (2.382 2.38)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 46.27%
    Derby County 29.31%
    Draw 24.42%
Coventry CityDrawDerby County
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.055 0.05)
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.73 0.73)
2-0 @ 7.49% (0.424 0.42)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.135 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.231 -0.23)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 46.27%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.35 0.35)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.276 -0.28)
0-0 @ 5.67% (0.576 0.58)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.171 -0.17)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-1 @ 7.06% (0.375 0.38)
0-2 @ 4.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 29.31%

How you voted: Coventry vs Derby

Coventry City
80.0%
Draw
11.3%
Derby County
8.8%
80
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 39
Derby
1-1
Coventry
Lawrence (66' pen.)
Byrne (57')
Godden (28')
Bidwell (22'), Dabo (54'), Hamer (66')
Jan 8, 2022 12.30pm
Third Round
Coventry
1-0
Derby
Hyam (42')
Shipley (53')

Jagielka (31'), Ebosele (57')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Coventry
1-1
Derby
Godden (20' pen.)
Maatsen (44')
Shinnie (78')
Davies (71'), Morrison (88')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Coventry
1-0
Derby
Biamou (11')
Hamer (30'), McCallum (89')

Clarke (9'), Buchanan (37'), Knight (49'), Kazim-Richards (57')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Derby
1-1
Coventry
Kazim-Richards (83')
Kazim-Richards (11'), Holmes (63'), Bielik (68'), Clarke (87')
Hamer (90+1')
O'Hare (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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