Millwall

1 - 1

Derby

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.