Championship

Championship | Gameweek 5

Sep 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

The Den

Millwall
0 - 1
Luton

De Norre (22'), Hutchinson (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mengi (10')
Mengi (41'), Kaminski (85'), Doughty (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Millwall 3-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Luton 1-2 QPR
Friday, August 30 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Luton Town
41.22% ( 0.28)	26.32% ( 0.06)	32.45% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 52.45% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.87% (

-0.35)

52.13% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.15% (

-0.3)

73.85% (

0.3)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.04% (

-0.01)

24.96% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.4% (

-0.01)

59.6% (

0.01)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.9% (

-0.4)

30.1% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.76% (

-0.49)

66.24% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Millwall 41.22%

Luton Town 32.45%

Draw 26.31%

Millwall	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 41.22%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.33% Total : 32.45%

How you voted: Millwall vs Luton

Millwall

62.0%

Draw

14.0%

Luton Town

24.0%

Head to Head

Apr 7, 2023 12.30pm

Gameweek 40

Millwall

0-0

Luton

> Preview

Feb 28, 2023 8pm

Gameweek 23

Luton

2-2

Millwall

Adebayo (58'), Berry (87')

Flemming (4'), Bradshaw (52')

> Preview

Apr 2, 2022 3pm

Gameweek 40

Luton

2-2

Millwall

Adebayo (33'), Cooper (87' og.)

Bradshaw (25'), Afobe (81')

> Preview

Oct 16, 2021 3pm

Gameweek 12

Millwall

0-2

Luton

Cooper (69')

Cornick (11', 53')
Clark (72'), Naismith (83'), Bree (84')

> Preview

Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm

Gameweek 32

Luton

1-1

Millwall

Adebayo (55')
Tunnicliffe (50'), Sluga (76')

Evans (90+5')
Hutchinson (15')

> Match Report

Form Guide

Millwall 3-0 Sheff Weds

Millwall 0-1 Leyton Orient

Hull City 0-0 Millwall

Bristol City 4-3 Millwall

Portsmouth 0-1 Millwall

Millwall 2-3 Watford

Luton 1-2 QPR

QPR 1-1 Luton (4-1 pen.)

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

Singapore

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table