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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
QPR logo

Luton
1 - 2
QPR

Dunne (18' og., 18' og.)
Chong (2'), Chong (2'), Chong (2'), Doughty (48'), Doughty (48'), Clark (79'), Clark (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Madsen (59', 59'), Frey (62', 62')
Cook (30'), Cook (30'), Field (51'), Field (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawQueens Park Rangers
35.8% (0.233 0.23)26.1% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)38.09% (-0.215 -0.22)
Both teams to score 53.83% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.34% (0.104 0.1)50.66% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.43% (0.091999999999999 0.09)72.56% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.72% (0.188 0.19)27.28% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.28% (0.246 0.25)62.71% (-0.25 -0.25)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)25.97% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)60.98% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 35.8%
    Queens Park Rangers 38.09%
    Draw 26.1%
Luton TownDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 9.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.98% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.49% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.59% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 35.8%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.08% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 9.55% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 8.36% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.89% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 38.09%

How you voted: Luton vs QPR

Luton Town
62.6%
Draw
14.2%
Queens Park Rangers
23.2%
155
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2024 7.45pm
Second Round
QPR
1-1
Luton
(Aggregate 1-1 | QPR win 4-1 on penalties)
Santos (11')
Santos (33'), Colback (49'), Celar (84')
Nelson (16')
Walters (40'), Morris (72')
Dec 29, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 25
QPR
0-3
Luton
Morris (10', 47'), Doughty (81')
Oct 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Luton
3-1
QPR
Adebayo (18'), Dunne (77' og.), Freeman (90+3')
Horvath (90+1' og.)
Mar 13, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 37
Luton
1-2
QPR
Jerome (37')
Gray (55' pen.), Dickie (83')
Chair (45+4'), Amos (87'), Wallace (90+5')
Nov 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
QPR
2-0
Luton
Willock (10'), Austin (55')
Dozzell (59'), Austin (75'), Dickie (90')

Lansbury (13'), Bradley (54'), Adebayo (57')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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