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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Leeds logo

QPR
4 - 0
Leeds

Chair (8'), Andersen (22'), Dykes (73'), Field (86')
Colback (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Byram (16'), Gnonto (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-0 Preston
Saturday, April 20 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-4 Leeds
Monday, April 22 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 1-3 Leeds United

Although the shorter recovery time could have a detrimental effect on Leeds, the manner of their win at Boro may have turned the tide in their favour. QPR are likely to push Leeds for large spells of this contest, yet we are backing the visitors to run out victors at Loftus Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 53.11%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawLeeds United
23.69% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 23.19% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 53.11% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 56.21% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.77% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)44.23% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.39% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)66.61% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)32.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)69.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.37% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)16.62% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.54% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)46.46% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 23.69%
    Leeds United 53.11%
    Draw 23.18%
Queens Park RangersDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 6.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 6.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.41% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 23.69%
1-1 @ 10.89%
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.18%
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 9.72% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 8.72% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-3 @ 5.85% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 5.21% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.62% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-4 @ 2.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 53.11%

How you voted: QPR vs Leeds

Queens Park Rangers
26.5%
Draw
13.2%
Leeds United
60.3%
219
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Leeds
1-0
QPR

Field (26'), Ainsworth (27'), Kakay (69')
Begovic (90+3')
Jan 18, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
QPR
1-0
Leeds
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 15
Leeds
2-0
QPR
Feb 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
QPR
1-0
Leeds
Freeman (49')
Luongo (45'), Bidwell (50'), Wells (57'), Scowen (87')

Brown (85')
Jan 6, 2019 2pm
Third Round
QPR
2-1
Leeds
Oteh (23' pen.), Bidwell (75')
Furlong (72'), Kakay (90')
Halme (25')
Halme (20'), Alioski (84'), Baker (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds372310474235179
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd37247652282477
3Burnley372015250113975
4Sunderland371912655342169
5Bristol City38141594941857
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom371317747331456
7Coventry CityCoventry37168135248456
8Middlesbrough37158145748953
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn37157154138352
10Watford37157154750-352
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds37149145358-551
12Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
13Millwall371212133639-348
14Queens Park RangersQPR371111154248-644
15Preston North EndPreston37917113743-644
16Swansea CitySwansea37128173847-944
17Portsmouth37119174559-1442
18Hull City371010173846-840
19Stoke CityStoke37912163750-1339
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd37912163855-1739
21Cardiff CityCardiff37812174061-2136
22Derby CountyDerby3798203749-1235
23Luton TownLuton3797213460-2634
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth37712183874-3633


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