Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.