Arouca
Arouca
Benfica
Benfica
Boavista
Boavista
Braga
Braga
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Moreirense
Nacional
Nacional
Porto
Porto
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 17, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Nacional

Porto
3 - 0
Nacional

Moura (1'), Omorodion (69' pen.), Mora Carvalho (83')
Vieira (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dias (13'), Vitor (26'), Paulinho (45+3'), Rodrigues dos Santos (80'), Adriano Baptista Goncalves (88'), Garcia (90+1')
Vitor (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Last Game: Boavista 1-2 Porto
Sunday, May 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Nacional 3-3 Rio Ave
Saturday, May 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.39%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 8.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.38%) and 3-0 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawNacional
75.39% (-0.65900000000001 -0.66)15.65% (0.301 0.3)8.96% (0.357 0.36)
Both teams to score 46.68% (0.495 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.11% (-0.21 -0.21)38.89% (0.209 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.8% (-0.22 -0.22)61.2% (0.219 0.22)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.29% (-0.202 -0.2)8.71% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.04% (-0.48999999999999 -0.49)29.96% (0.489 0.49)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.13% (0.654 0.65)48.87% (-0.655 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.14% (0.465 0.46)83.86% (-0.46599999999999 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Porto 75.38%
    Nacional 8.96%
    Draw 15.65%
PortoDrawNacional
2-0 @ 12.67% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-0 @ 10.38%
3-0 @ 10.31% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 7.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 6.3% (-0.178 -0.18)
4-1 @ 4.51% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 3.07% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.05 0.05)
5-1 @ 2.2% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.015 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.25% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 75.38%
1-1 @ 7.44% (0.141 0.14)
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.25% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 15.65%
0-1 @ 3.05% (0.086 0.09)
1-2 @ 2.66% (0.099 0.1)
0-2 @ 1.09% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 8.96%

How you voted: Porto vs Nacional

Porto
94.1%
Draw
5.9%
Nacional
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2025 3.30pm
Gameweek 17
Nacional
2-0
Porto
Dudu (17'), Vitor (44')
Garcia (45+6'), Eustaquio (55'), Gomes (89')

Mora Carvalho (5'), Soumare (56'), Otavio (78'), Vieira (82'), Borges (83'), Perez (83')
> Preview
Jul 13, 2024 11am
Club Friendlies 3
Porto
4-1
Nacional
Apr 18, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 27
Nacional
0-1
Porto
Taremi (20')
Camacho (42'), Gorre (56'), Manafa (81'), Haica Rouai (90+1')
> Preview
Dec 20, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 10
Porto
2-0
Nacional
Oliveira (21' pen.), Marega (39')

Azouni (63')
> Preview
May 12, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Nacional
0-4
Porto

Riascos (71')
Telles (14'), Torres (28'), Corona (59'), Marega (88' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34257288276182
2Benfica34255484285680
3Porto34225765303571
4Braga34199655302566
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara34176113632457
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes341412847371054
7FamalicaoFamalicao341211114439547
8Estoril PraiaEstoril341210124853-546
9Casa Pia34129133944-545
10MoreirenseMoreirense341010144250-840
11AroucaArouca34911143549-1438
12Rio AveRio Ave34911143955-1638
13Gil Vicente34810163447-1334
14Nacional3497183250-1834
15Estrela Amadora3478192450-2629
RSC FarenseFarense3469192546-2127
17AVS34512172560-3527
RBoavistaBoavista3466222459-3524
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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