

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Nacional |
| 41.56% ( | 27.59% ( | 30.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.47% ( | 57.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.68% ( | 78.31% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.73% ( | 27.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.3% | 62.69% ( |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.01% ( | 33.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.33% ( | 70.66% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 12.04% 2-1 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 41.56% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.27% ( 2-2 @ 4.56% ( Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0-2 @ 5.4% ( 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 2-3 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 30.85% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 27 | 61 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 84 | 28 | 56 | 80 |
| 3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 30 | 35 | 71 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 66 |
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 57 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 54 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 |
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 46 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 45 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 40 |
| 11 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 38 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 38 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 29 |
| 16 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 27 |
| 17 | AVS | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 27 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 59 | -35 | 24 |
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
