We said: Boavista 0-0 Nacional
Boavista may ride the wave of their new-manager bounce to deliver another spirited performance, but that alone may not be enough to overcome Nacional, making a stalemate the most probable outcome.
Additionally, with both teams struggling in front of goal, a low-scoring contest appears to be on the cards, especially considering that four of the last five meetings between these sides have produced no more than one goal.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.