Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 54.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
20.49% (![]() | 24.58% (![]() | 54.93% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.72% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.58% (![]() | 53.42% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.05% (![]() | 74.95% (![]() |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.19% (![]() | 40.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.61% (![]() | 77.39% (![]() |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.63% (![]() | 19.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.83% (![]() | 51.17% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 7.09% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.21% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 1.23% Total : 20.49% | 1-1 @ 11.63% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.91% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.28% ( ![]() Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 12.97% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.64% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.54% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.22% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.88% Total : 54.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 83 | 25 | 58 | 75 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 80 | 25 | 55 | 75 |
3 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 |
4 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 51 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 50 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 44 |
8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
11 | Nacional | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 33 |
13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 32 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 29 |
16 | AVS | 31 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 24 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 20 | 42 | -22 | 21 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |