

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 54.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 20.49% ( | 24.58% ( | 54.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.58% ( | 53.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.05% ( | 74.95% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.19% ( | 40.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.61% ( | 77.39% ( |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.63% ( | 19.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.83% ( | 51.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 7.09% ( 2-1 @ 5.21% ( 2-0 @ 3.18% ( 3-1 @ 1.56% ( 3-2 @ 1.28% ( 3-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.23% Total : 20.49% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 2-2 @ 4.28% ( Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 12.97% ( 0-2 @ 10.64% ( 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0-3 @ 5.83% ( 1-3 @ 5.22% ( 0-4 @ 2.39% ( 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 1-4 @ 2.14% ( 2-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.88% Total : 54.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 83 | 25 | 58 | 75 |
| 2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 80 | 25 | 55 | 75 |
| 3 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 |
| 4 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 62 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 50 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 | Nacional | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 33 |
| 13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 33 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 29 |
| 16 | AVS | 31 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 24 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 20 | 42 | -22 | 21 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 21 |
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