

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Braga had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Braga |
| 43.9% ( | 25.42% ( | 30.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.63% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.02% ( | 48.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.93% ( | 71.07% ( |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% ( | 22.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.29% ( | 55.71% ( |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.28% ( | 29.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.22% ( | 65.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 2-0 @ 7.46% ( 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 4-2 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 43.9% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0-2 @ 4.87% ( 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0-3 @ 1.97% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 30.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 70 | 23 | 47 | 62 |
| 2 | Benfica | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 59 | 20 | 39 | 59 |
| 3 | Porto | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 53 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 53 |
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 43 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 41 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 36 |
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 36 |
| 9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 31 |
| 11 | Nacional | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 29 |
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 29 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 23 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 23 |
| 16 | AVS | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 23 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 43 | -27 | 15 |
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