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Europa League

Europa League | League Stage
Jan 23, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien
Braga

Union SG
2 - 1
Braga

Ivanovic (50', 74')
Burgess (45'), Machida (66'), Rodriguez (73'), Van de Perre (90+5'), Sadiki (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
El Ouazzani (16')
Carvalho (73'), Horta (80'), Niakate (81'), Gharbi (90')
Carvalho (79'), Bruma (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Union SG and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Union SG 1-0 Leuven
Sunday, January 19 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Braga

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-1 Braga
Sunday, January 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Braga had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union SG in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Union SG.

Result
Union SGDrawBraga
45.06% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)24.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)30.26% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.89% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.06% (0.029000000000003 0.03)45.94% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.75% (0.027999999999999 0.03)68.24% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.53% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)20.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.06% (0.015000000000001 0.02)52.94% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (0.018000000000001 0.02)28.47% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.76% (0.027000000000001 0.03)64.23% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 45.06%
    Braga 30.26%
    Draw 24.68%
Union SGDrawBraga
1-0 @ 9.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.21%
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.88% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.54%
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 45.06%
1-1 @ 11.61%
0-0 @ 5.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.68%
0-1 @ 7.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.6%
1-3 @ 3.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 30.26%

How you voted: Union SG vs Braga

Union SG
63.9%
Draw
15.3%
Braga
20.8%
72
Head to Head
Oct 13, 2022 5.45pm
Group Stage
Union SG
3-3
Braga
Okoh Boniface (20', 62'), Vanzeir (49')
Oliveira (15', 36', 41')
> Preview
Oct 6, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Braga
1-2
Union SG
Ruiz (49')
Nilsson (86', 90+4')
> Preview
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