Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 29, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Braga1 - 2Casa Pia
FT(HT: 1-1)
We said: Braga 2-1 Casa Pia
It has been a cheerful festive season for Casa Pia, who will be looking to make it 10 points from a possible 12 to end the year on a strong note. However, Braga head into the weekend buoyed by their victory over Santa Clara, and given the gulf in quality between the two teams, we predict that they will come away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 72.54%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 10.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 1-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Casa Pia |
72.54% ( 0.23) | 16.55% ( -0.09) | 10.91% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.33% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
