Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Nacional3 - 3Rio Ave
We said: Nacional 2-2 Rio Ave
While it has been a turbulent campaign for both sides, Nacional and Rio Ave have guaranteed their top-flight status for another season and will be looking to close out the campaign on a high. However, we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Rio Ave |
38.62% ( -0.43) | 25.84% ( 0.07) | 35.53% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 54.69% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
