Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 45.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 26.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
