Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Santa Clara | 
| 36.43% | 28.39% | 35.18% | 
| Both teams to score 46.63% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 40.32% | 59.68% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 20.01% | 79.99% | 
| Rio Ave Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.69% | 31.31% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.33% | 67.66% | 
| Santa Clara Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.88% | 32.11% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.41% | 68.59% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Rio Ave | Draw | Santa Clara | 
| 1-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.98% Total : 36.43%  | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.05% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.38%  | 0-1 @ 11.42% 1-2 @ 7.53% 0-2 @ 6.49% 1-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.18%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 61 | 13 | 48 | 65 | 
| 2 | Porto | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 57 | 
| 3 | Braga | 24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 55 | 
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 23 | 26 | 50 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 40 | 
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 37 | 
| 7 | Casa Pia | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 35 | 
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 30 | 
| 9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 30 | 
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 | 
| 11 | Vizela | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 29 | 
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 29 | 
| 13 | ChavesChaves | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 29 | 
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 26 | 
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 22 | 
| 16 | Maritimo | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 45 | -28 | 16 | 
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 15 | 
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 15 | 
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