Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%).
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Rio Ave | 
| 42.24% | 27.19% | 30.57% | 
| Both teams to score 49.09% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 43.89% | 56.1% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 22.82% | 77.17% | 
| Santa Clara Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.76% | 26.24% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.65% | 61.34% | 
| Rio Ave Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.56% | 33.44% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.93% | 70.07% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Santa Clara | Draw | Rio Ave | 
| 1-0 @ 11.73% 2-1 @ 8.6% 2-0 @ 7.85% 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.15% Total : 42.23% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.77% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 9.61% 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 5.27% 1-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.57% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 22 | 
| 2 | Braga | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 19 | 
| 3 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 
| 4 | PortimonensePortimonense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 
| 5 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 15 | 
| 6 | Casa Pia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 
| 7 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 
| 9 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 9 | 
| 11 | ChavesChaves | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 9 | 
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 9 | 
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 9 | 
| 14 | Vizela | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 | 
| 15 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 | 
| 16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 5 | 
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 2 | 
| 18 | Maritimo | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 22 | -18 | 0 | 
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