Angers
Angers
AJ Auxerre
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Brest logo
Le Havre
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lens logo
Lille
Lille
Lyon
Lyon
Marseille
Marseille
Monaco
Monaco
Montpellier
Montpellier
Nantes
Nantes
Nice
Nice
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PSG logo
Reims
Reims
Rennes
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Lille

Brest
2 - 0
Lille

Ajorque (42'), Doumbia (64')
Pereira Lage (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Meunier (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 1-0 Montpellier
Sunday, May 4 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Marseille
Sunday, May 4 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Brest had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawLille
30.88% (0.058 0.06)24.79% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)44.33% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 56.84% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.85% (0.055 0.05)46.15% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.56% (0.052 0.05)68.45% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.84% (0.064999999999998 0.06)28.16% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.15% (0.081000000000003 0.08)63.85% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.12% (0.0019999999999953 0)20.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.41%53.59% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Brest 30.88%
    Lille 44.33%
    Draw 24.79%
BrestDrawLille
1-0 @ 7.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.12% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.99% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 30.88%
1-1 @ 11.67%
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 9.21% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.14% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.21% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.77% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 3.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.02% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.87% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 44.33%

How you voted: Brest vs Lille

Brest
20.0%
Draw
17.1%
Lille
62.9%
35
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 14
Lille
3-1
Brest
David (7' pen., 69'), Arnar Haraldsson (44')
Andre (80')
Ajorque (48')
Le Cardinal (6')
Mar 17, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 26
Brest
1-1
Lille
Satriano (79')
Pereira Lage (27'), Lees-Melou (57'), Roy (64'), Locko (87')
David (67')
Oct 22, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 9
Lille
1-0
Brest
Yazici (6')
Andre (45+4'), Arnar Haraldsson (79')

Le Douaron (41'), Camblan (79'), Brahimi (84')
Feb 24, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 25
Lille
2-1
Brest
Diakite (60'), Alexsandro (80')
Djalo (8' og.)
Jan 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 18
Brest
0-0
Lille
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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