Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Marseille 5-1 Montpellier
Saturday, April 19 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, April 19 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
62
Last Game: Brest 1-3 Lens
Sunday, April 20 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, April 20 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
48
We said: Marseille 1-0 Brest
Marseille have been unpredictable in recent weeks which makes this a tough game to call. The hosts comfortably saw off Brest in the reverse fixture, and while we expect it to be a much closer match this time, the outcome should remain the same. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Brest had a probability of 15.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Brest |
66.88% ( -0.28) | 18.12% ( 0.1) | 15.01% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 58.38% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
