Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Parc des Princes
PSG3 - 1Marseille
We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Marseille
It is hard to look beyond another win for PSG in the imminent Le Classique, with the free-scoring Parisians expected to record a seventh straight Ligue 1 triumph over Marseille to extend their lead atop the standings to 19. While Enrique's men keeping one clean sheet in 11 top-flight matches at Parc des Princes should give De Zerbi's side hope of scoring, a side that have hit three or more in seven of said games should triumph on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 56.07%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 22.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Marseille |
56.07% ( -0.5) | 21.59% ( 0.38) | 22.33% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 60% ( -1.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
