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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 at 8.05pm UK
Parc des Princes
Lille

PSG
4 - 1
Lille

Barcola (6'), Marquinhos (22'), Dembele (28'), Doue (37')
FT(HT: 4-0)
David (80')
Meunier (39'), Ismaily (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stade Briochin 0-7 PSG
Wednesday, February 26 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Monaco
Saturday, February 22 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 66.73%. A draw has a probability of 18.7% and a win for Lille has a probability of 14.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.7%), while for a Lille win it is 1-2 (4.15%).

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLille
66.73% (-0.395 -0.39)18.7% (0.408 0.41)14.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55% (-1.552 -1.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.15% (-1.988 -1.99)37.86% (1.995 2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.9% (-2.156 -2.16)60.11% (2.163 2.16)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.5% (-0.64200000000001 -0.64)10.5% (0.647 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.83% (-1.474 -1.47)34.18% (1.48 1.48)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.45% (-1.282 -1.28)38.55% (1.288 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.7% (-1.245 -1.25)75.3% (1.252 1.25)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 66.73%
    Lille 14.58%
    Draw 18.7%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLille
2-0 @ 10.28% (0.42 0.42)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.067 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.13% (0.615 0.62)
3-0 @ 7.72% (0.107 0.11)
3-1 @ 7.36% (-0.156 -0.16)
4-0 @ 4.35% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.15% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.202 -0.2)
4-2 @ 1.98% (-0.173 -0.17)
5-0 @ 1.96% (-0.083 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.87% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 4.62%
Total : 66.73%
1-1 @ 8.7% (0.297 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-0 @ 4.05% (0.377 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.7%
1-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 3.86% (0.234 0.23)
0-2 @ 1.84% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 14.58%

How you voted: PSG vs Lille

Paris Saint-Germain
88.6%
Draw
10.0%
Lille
1.4%
70
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lille
1-3
PSG
Zhegrova (78')
Alexsandro (31'), Mukau (47'), Diakite (90+1')
Vitinha (33' pen.), Barcola (36'), Kolo (90+2')
Beraldo (24'), Donnarumma (84')
Feb 10, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 21
PSG
3-1
Lille
Ramos (10'), Alexsandro (17' og.), Kolo (80')
Ugarte (35'), Mukiele (74')
Yazici (6')
Andre (16'), Ismaily (32'), Fonseca (40'), Alexsandro (52')
Dec 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Lille
1-1
PSG
David (90+4')
Diakite (66')
Mbappe (66' pen.)
Ugarte (18')
Feb 19, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 24
PSG
4-3
Lille
Mbappe (11', 87'), Neymar (17'), Messi (90+5')
Diakite (24'), David (58' pen.), Bamba (69')
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lille
1-7
PSG
Bamba (54')
Andre (39'), David (83')
Mbappe (1', 66', 87'), Messi (27'), Hakimi (39'), Neymar (43', 52')
Ramos (34')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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