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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 at 8.05pm UK
Parc des Princes
Lille

PSG
4 - 1
Lille

Barcola (6'), Marquinhos (22'), Dembele (28'), Doue (37')
FT(HT: 4-0)
David (80')
Meunier (39'), Ismaily (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stade Briochin 0-7 PSG
Wednesday, February 26 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Monaco
Saturday, February 22 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 4-1 Lille

PSG have thrashed almost all oncomers in 2025, and even impressive outfits Monaco and Brest have suffered sobering beatings here of late, illustrating the task ahead of Lille. Genesio could also prioritise the trip to Germany on Tuesday, meaning just a third defeat in 15 league games could be on the cards for the visitors, while PSG will expect to notch a 19th win in 20 matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 66.73%. A draw has a probability of 18.7% and a win for Lille has a probability of 14.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.7%), while for a Lille win it is 1-2 (4.15%).

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLille
66.73% (-0.395 -0.39) 18.7% (0.408 0.41) 14.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55% (-1.552 -1.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.15% (-1.988 -1.99)37.86% (1.995 2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.9% (-2.156 -2.16)60.11% (2.163 2.16)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.5% (-0.64200000000001 -0.64)10.5% (0.647 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.83% (-1.474 -1.47)34.18% (1.48 1.48)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.45% (-1.282 -1.28)38.55% (1.288 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.7% (-1.245 -1.25)75.3% (1.252 1.25)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 66.73%
    Lille 14.58%
    Draw 18.7%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLille
2-0 @ 10.28% (0.42 0.42)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.067 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.13% (0.615 0.62)
3-0 @ 7.72% (0.107 0.11)
3-1 @ 7.36% (-0.156 -0.16)
4-0 @ 4.35% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.15% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.202 -0.2)
4-2 @ 1.98% (-0.173 -0.17)
5-0 @ 1.96% (-0.083 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.87% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 4.62%
Total : 66.73%
1-1 @ 8.7% (0.297 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-0 @ 4.05% (0.377 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.7%
1-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 3.86% (0.234 0.23)
0-2 @ 1.84% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 14.58%

How you voted: PSG vs Lille

Paris Saint-Germain
88.6%
Draw
10.0%
Lille
1.4%
70
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lille
1-3
PSG
Zhegrova (78')
Alexsandro (31'), Mukau (47'), Diakite (90+1')
Vitinha (33' pen.), Barcola (36'), Kolo (90+2')
Beraldo (24'), Donnarumma (84')
Feb 10, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 21
PSG
3-1
Lille
Ramos (10'), Alexsandro (17' og.), Kolo (80')
Ugarte (35'), Mukiele (74')
Yazici (6')
Andre (16'), Ismaily (32'), Fonseca (40'), Alexsandro (52')
Dec 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Lille
1-1
PSG
David (90+4')
Diakite (66')
Mbappe (66' pen.)
Ugarte (18')
Feb 19, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 24
PSG
4-3
Lille
Mbappe (11', 87'), Neymar (17'), Messi (90+5')
Diakite (24'), David (58' pen.), Bamba (69')
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lille
1-7
PSG
Bamba (54')
Andre (39'), David (83')
Mbappe (1', 66', 87'), Messi (27'), Hakimi (39'), Neymar (43', 52')
Ramos (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG31246184315378
2Marseille31184966432358
3Lille31168749321756
4MonacoMonaco31167858362255
5Lyon31166962422054
6Nice31159759392054
7StrasbourgStrasbourg31159751381354
8Lens31136123537-245
9Brest31135134953-444
10Auxerre31118124545041
11Rennes31122174644238
12Toulouse3198143839-135
13Reims3189143242-1033
14NantesNantes31711133550-1532
15Angers3186172950-2130
16Le HavreLe Havre3184193465-3128
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3176183471-3727
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3144232271-4916


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