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Ligue 1

Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
PSG logo

Lyon
2 - 3
PSG

Cherki (83'), Tolisso (90+2')
Almada (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hakimi (53', 85'), Dembele (59')
Hakimi (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-4 Lyon
Sunday, February 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 7-0 Brest
Wednesday, February 19 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawParis Saint-Germain
29.89% (0.218 0.22)23.29% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)46.81% (-0.205 -0.2)
Both teams to score 61.53% (0.202 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.26% (0.204 0.2)39.73% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.91% (0.213 0.21)62.09% (-0.217 -0.22)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.38% (0.24299999999999 0.24)25.62% (-0.248 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.49% (0.33 0.33)60.5% (-0.336 -0.34)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)17.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.38% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)47.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 29.89%
    Paris Saint-Germain 46.81%
    Draw 23.29%
LyonDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7.21% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.03% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.11% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.27% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.86% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 29.89%
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.33% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.68% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.29%
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.77% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.82% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.44% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.99% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.7% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.39% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.63% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 46.81%

How you voted: Lyon vs PSG

Lyon
10.6%
Draw
11.8%
Paris Saint-Germain
77.6%
85
Head to Head
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3-1
Lyon
Dembele (8'), Vitinha (14' pen.), Ramos (88')
Kang-in (15'), Donnarumma (41')
Mikautadze (40')
Mikautadze (41'), Veretout (45+2'), Tagliafico (90+2')
> Preview
May 25, 2024 8pm
Final
Lyon
1-2
PSG
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Caleta-Car (45+2'), Tagliafico (88')
Dembele (22'), Ruiz (34')
Dembele (88')
> Match Report
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Matic (3' og.), Beraldo (6'), Ramos (32', 42')
Nuamah (37')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Lyon
1-4
PSG
Tolisso (74' pen.)
Tolisso (3'), Maitland-Niles (58')
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Hernandez (48'), Zaire-Emery (73')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
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0-1
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Barcola (56')
> Preview