Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.25%) and 0-1 (6.23%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 28.22% ( | 21.61% ( | 50.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.38% ( | 32.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.72% ( | 54.28% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.92% ( | 23.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.08% ( | 56.91% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.53% ( | 13.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.53% ( | 40.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 6.7% ( 1-0 @ 4.56% ( 2-0 @ 3.34% ( 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 3-1 @ 3.27% ( 3-0 @ 1.63% ( 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 4-1 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.22% | 1-1 @ 9.14% ( 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0-0 @ 3.11% ( 3-3 @ 2.19% ( Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.61% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0-1 @ 6.23% ( 1-3 @ 6.12% ( 2-3 @ 4.49% ( 0-3 @ 4.18% ( 1-4 @ 3.07% ( 2-4 @ 2.25% ( 0-4 @ 2.09% ( 1-5 @ 1.23% ( 3-4 @ 1.1% ( 2-5 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 3.11% Total : 50.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
| 4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
| 6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
| 8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
| 9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
| 11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
| 13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
| 17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
| R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
