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Coupe de France | Round of 16
Feb 4, 2025 at 8.10pm UK
Stade de La Pincenardiere
PSG logo

Le Mans
0 - 2
PSG


Bernardeau (5'), Lauray (32'), Kimpembe (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Doue (25'), Barcola (71')
Mayulu (45+2'), Ramos (87'), Kimpembe (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coupe de France clash between Le Mans and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Le Mans 1-1 Valenciennes (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Brest 2-5 PSG
Saturday, February 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Le Mans 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

While Le Mans will look to show they are no pushovers, aiming for one of the biggest upsets in the competition's history, PSG are expected to be too strong an opponent for the third-tier side, making an away win almost certain. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 71.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Le Mans had a probability of 11.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Le Mans win it was 1-0 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
Le MansDrawParis Saint-Germain
11.1% (0.852 0.85) 17.68% (0.708 0.71) 71.22% (-1.559 -1.56)
Both teams to score 47.8% (0.64 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.12% (-0.813 -0.81)41.88% (0.813 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.72% (-0.821 -0.82)64.28% (0.822 0.82)
Le Mans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.39% (1.068 1.07)46.61% (-1.067 -1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.81% (0.802 0.8)82.19% (-0.80199999999999 -0.8)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.52% (-0.605 -0.61)10.47% (0.604 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.89% (-1.379 -1.38)34.11% (1.38 1.38)
Score Analysis
    Le Mans 11.1%
    Paris Saint-Germain 71.21%
    Draw 17.68%
Le MansDrawParis Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 3.73% (0.241 0.24)
2-1 @ 3.21% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 1.42% (0.132 0.13)
3-2 @ 0.92% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 11.1%
1-1 @ 8.41% (0.336 0.34)
0-0 @ 4.88% (0.176 0.18)
2-2 @ 3.62% (0.159 0.16)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 17.68%
0-2 @ 12.42% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-1 @ 11.01% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 9.49% (0.14 0.14)
0-3 @ 9.35% (-0.393 -0.39)
1-3 @ 7.13% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-4 @ 5.27% (-0.367 -0.37)
1-4 @ 4.02% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.051 0.05)
0-5 @ 2.38% (-0.232 -0.23)
1-5 @ 1.82% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 71.21%

How you voted: Le Mans vs PSG

Le Mans
20.7%
Draw
8.6%
Paris Saint-Germain
70.7%
58
Head to Head
Dec 18, 2019 8.05pm
Round of 16
Le Mans
1-4
PSG
Manzala (54')
Boe-Kane (16')
Sarabia (21'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (41'), Mbappe (42'), Di Maria (48')
Verratti (10'), Kouassi (70'), Paredes (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal301710355253061
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest30176750351557
4Chelsea29147853371649
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham3012994440445
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd30107133741-437
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3097143350-1734
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3085174158-1729
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2945202565-4017
20Southampton2923242170-499


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