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Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Lyon

Nantes
1 - 1
Lyon

Mohamed (90')
Pallois (41'), Mollet (57'), Coco (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nuamah (10')
Mata (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Etienne 1-1 Nantes
Sunday, January 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Fenerbahce 0-0 Lyon
Thursday, January 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawLyon
23.71% (-0.595 -0.59)23.87% (0.013999999999999 0.01)52.42% (0.578 0.58)
Both teams to score 54.01% (-0.72799999999999 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.84% (-0.641 -0.64)47.16% (0.639 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.6% (-0.6 -0.6)69.39% (0.596 0.6)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.84% (-0.869 -0.87)34.16% (0.866 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.15% (-0.942 -0.94)70.85% (0.93899999999999 0.94)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.03% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)17.96% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.2% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)48.8% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 23.71%
    Lyon 52.41%
    Draw 23.86%
NantesDrawLyon
1-0 @ 6.59% (0.021 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.08% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 3.54% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.18% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 23.71%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.14% (0.162 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.86%
0-1 @ 10.53% (0.27 0.27)
1-2 @ 9.71% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.04% (0.227 0.23)
1-3 @ 5.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.18% (0.127 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 2.22% (0.053 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 52.41%

How you voted: Nantes vs Lyon

Nantes
7.4%
Draw
22.2%
Lyon
70.4%
27
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 7
Lyon
2-0
Nantes
Tagliafico (22'), Pallois (54' og.)
Tagliafico (66')

Cozza (61'), Douglas (71')
Apr 7, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Nantes
1-3
Lyon
Abline (16')
Comert (18'), Kombouare (19'), Mohamed (74')
Lacazette (75'), Fofana (77'), Orban (90+7')
Lacazette (53'), Nuamah (71')
Dec 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Lyon
1-0
Nantes
Lacazette (49')
Tagliafico (90+7')
Lovren (84')

Centonze (8'), Duverne (31')
Apr 5, 2023 8.10pm
Semi-Finals
Nantes
1-0
Lyon
Blas (57')
Mar 17, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Lyon
1-1
Nantes
Lacazette (24')
Lukeba (2' og.)
rhs 2.0


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