Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 23.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Lyon |
| 23.71% ( | 23.87% ( | 52.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.84% ( | 47.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.6% ( | 69.39% ( |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.84% ( | 34.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.15% ( | 70.85% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.03% ( | 17.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.2% ( | 48.8% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 6.59% ( 2-1 @ 6.08% ( 2-0 @ 3.54% ( 3-1 @ 2.18% ( 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 3-0 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 23.71% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.86% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( 1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0-2 @ 9.04% ( 1-3 @ 5.56% ( 0-3 @ 5.18% ( 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 1-4 @ 2.39% ( 0-4 @ 2.22% ( 2-4 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 3.52% Total : 52.41% |