We said: Lille 2-0 Nantes
No current coaches have managed more Ligue 1 games than Bruno Genesio (246) or the vastly experienced Antoine Kombouare (521), yet there has never been a draw between them in the French top flight. That trend will continue this weekend, when a confident Lille side should make light work of Nantes, who offer little threat and continue to concede goals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Nantes |
54.71% ( -1.14) | 22.92% ( 0.14) | 22.37% ( 1) |
| Both teams to score 55.45% ( 0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.55% ( 0.59) | 44.45% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.18% ( 0.57) | 66.82% ( -0.57) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.86% ( -0.19) | 16.15% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.42% ( -0.34) | 45.58% ( 0.34) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.13% ( 1.27) | 33.87% ( -1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.46% ( 1.36) | 70.54% ( -1.36) |
| Score Analysis |
Lille 54.71%
Nantes 22.37%
Draw 22.91%
| Lille | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.42% Total : 54.71% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.91% | 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.21% Total : 22.37% |
How you voted: Lille vs Nantes
Lille
86.4%Draw
10.2%Nantes
3.4%59
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 2
Lille
2-0
Nantes
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Lille
2-1
Nantes
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 29
Nantes
0-1
Lille
