Brest

4 - 1

Nantes

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 48.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 25.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.