Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12

Nov 22, 2024 at 6pm UK

Stade Louis II.

Monaco
3 - 2
Brest

Akliouche (5', 90+1'), Golovin (24')
Majecki (78'), Singo (85')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Sima (50'), Ajorque (90+6')
Lala (6'), Le Cardinal (83')
Roy (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-3 Monaco
Saturday, November 9 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Brest

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Montpellier 3-1 Brest
Sunday, November 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Brest
59.14% ( -0.1)	21.44% ( 0.06)	19.42% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 55.9% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.3% (

-0.2)

41.7% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.9% (

-0.21)

64.1% (

0.21)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.23% (

-0.1)

13.76% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.93% (

-0.19)

41.06% (

0.19)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.82% (

-0.08)

35.17% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.07% (

-0.09)

71.92% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Monaco 59.14%

Brest 19.42%

Draw 21.43%

Monaco	Draw	Brest
2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 59.14%	1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.43%	1-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 19.42%