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Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Nov 22, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Brest logo

Monaco
3 - 2
Brest

Akliouche (5', 90+1'), Golovin (24')
Majecki (78'), Singo (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sima (50'), Ajorque (90+6')
Lala (6'), Le Cardinal (83')
Roy (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-3 Monaco
Saturday, November 9 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 3-1 Brest
Sunday, November 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawBrest
59.14% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)21.44% (0.058 0.06)19.42% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.9% (-0.135 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.3% (-0.205 -0.2)41.7% (0.203 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.9% (-0.208 -0.21)64.1% (0.207 0.21)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.23% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)13.76% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.93% (-0.192 -0.19)41.06% (0.19 0.19)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.82% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)35.17% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.07% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)71.92% (0.085000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 59.14%
    Brest 19.42%
    Draw 21.43%
MonacoDrawBrest
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.6% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.24% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 59.14%
1-1 @ 10.03% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.84% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.43%
1-2 @ 5.24% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.06% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.64% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 19.42%

How you voted: Monaco vs Brest

Monaco
78.0%
Draw
16.5%
Brest
5.5%
127
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 4.05pm
Gameweek 30
Brest
0-2
Monaco

Roy (45'), Le Cardinal (59'), Lala (69'), Camara (85'), Magnetti (90+1'), Le Douaron (90+5')
Zakaria (40'), Minamino (48')
Zakaria (44'), Diatta (65')
Ben Seghir (90+1'), Singo (90+5')
Nov 5, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 11
Monaco
2-0
Brest
Zakaria (16'), Golovin (69')
Golovin (62'), Fofana (88')

Locko (8'), Roy (33'), Brassier (62'), Lees-Melou (67')
Brassier (90+3')
Feb 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 24
Brest
1-2
Monaco
Golovin (39'), Boadu (73')
Jan 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Monaco
1-0
Brest
Golovin (54')
May 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 37
Monaco
4-2
Brest
Ben Yedder (44' pen., 51', 54'), Volland (70')
Golovin (45+3'), Volland (62')
Duverne (10'), Belaili (23')
Herelle (45+3'), Der Zakarian (66')