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Ligue 1

Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Brest logo

Montpellier
3 - 1
Brest

Nordin (6' pen.), Khazri (12'), Coulibaly (84')
Khazri (16'), Ferri (56'), Sagnan (62'), Toure (69'), Chennahi (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Martin (50')
Martin (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Le Havre 1-0 Montpellier
Sunday, November 3 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Brest

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Sparta Prague 1-2 Brest
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawBrest
28.97% (0.881 0.88)24.22% (0.257 0.26)46.81% (-1.137 -1.14)
Both teams to score 57.65% (-0.238 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.42% (-0.602 -0.6)44.58% (0.60400000000001 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.06% (-0.585 -0.59)66.95% (0.587 0.59)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.33% (0.31599999999999 0.32)28.67% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.51% (0.393 0.39)64.49% (-0.392 -0.39)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.83% (-0.69499999999999 -0.69)19.18% (0.697 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.15% (-1.164 -1.16)50.85% (1.167 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 28.97%
    Brest 46.81%
    Draw 24.22%
Montpellier HSCDrawBrest
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.151 0.15)
1-0 @ 6.87% (0.236 0.24)
2-0 @ 4.29% (0.184 0.18)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.091 0.09)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 28.97%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.142 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.22%
1-2 @ 9.37% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.5% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-3 @ 5.16% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-3 @ 4.13% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.13% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.7% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 46.81%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Brest

Montpellier HSC
23.8%
Draw
9.5%
Brest
66.7%
42
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 18
Brest
2-0
Montpellier
Magnetti (48'), Le Douaron (90+2')
Magnetti (45')

Chotard (44'), Jullien (57')
> Preview
Nov 26, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 13
Montpellier
1-3
Brest
Savanier (51' pen.)
Savanier (24'), Adams (90+6')
Esteve (20' og.), Pereira Lage (64'), Doumbia (90+3')
Lees-Melou (30'), Del Castillo (45')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 23
Montpellier
3-0
Brest
Herelle (4' og.), Savanier (17' pen.), Wahi (54')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Brest
0-7
Montpellier

Lees-Melou (50')
Maouassa (6'), Wahi (10', 31'), Khazri (11'), Cozza (25'), Germain (64', 84')
Nordin (62'), Leroy (71')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 30
Montpellier
1-2
Brest
Savanier (90+3' pen.)
Mavididi (32'), Sakho (33')
Satriano (69'), Honorat (79')
Satriano (7'), Herelle (31'), Chardonnet (66'), Brassier (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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