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Champions League | League Stage
Nov 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Lille

Bologna
1 - 2
Lille

Dallinga (5'), Lucumi (63')
Lykogiannis (33'), Odgaard (84'), Castro (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mukau (44', 66')
Alexsandro (22'), Meunier (54'), Mandi (80'), Zhegrova (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Bologna and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Lazio 3-0 Bologna
Sunday, November 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Lille

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Rennes
Sunday, November 24 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Lille had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lille in this match.

Result
BolognaDrawLille
39.47% (0.095000000000006 0.1)27.96% (0.135 0.13)32.58% (-0.225 -0.23)
Both teams to score 47.52% (-0.443 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.59% (-0.529 -0.53)58.41% (0.53299999999999 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.99% (-0.416 -0.42)79.01% (0.419 0.42)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15% (-0.2 -0.2)28.86% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.28% (-0.252 -0.25)64.72% (0.25700000000001 0.26)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.79% (-0.431 -0.43)33.21% (0.434 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.18% (-0.477 -0.48)69.82% (0.48099999999999 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 39.46%
    Lille 32.58%
    Draw 27.95%
BolognaDrawLille
1-0 @ 11.91% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.16% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.4% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.07% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 39.46%
1-1 @ 13.12% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.58% (0.192 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.95%
0-1 @ 10.56% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 32.58%

How you voted: Bologna vs Lille

Bologna
18.7%
Draw
18.7%
Lille
62.7%
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