We said: Saint-Etienne 2-1 Nantes
Having been knocked out of the Coupe de France by Marseille in December, the hosts will be more fresh than a Nantes team that played in the cup in midweek.
Therefore, we think that St Etienne will win a close game against a side that struggle to win matches on their travels.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
-0.32) 
0.35) 
