Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Monaco |
| 28.85% ( | 24.99% ( | 46.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.99% ( | 48.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.82% ( | 70.18% ( |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.49% ( | 30.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.27% ( | 66.73% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.17% ( | 20.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.48% ( | 53.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 2-1 @ 7.03% ( 2-0 @ 4.48% ( 3-1 @ 2.78% ( 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 3-0 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.85% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 9.97% ( 1-2 @ 9.28% ( 0-2 @ 7.82% ( 1-3 @ 4.85% ( 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0-4 @ 1.6% ( 2-4 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 46.17% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
| 2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
| 6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
| 8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
| 16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
| R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
| R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
