MX23RW : Wednesday, April 30 12:24:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
PSG logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Dec 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Parc des Princes
Lyon

PSG
3 - 1
Lyon

Dembele (8'), Vitinha (14' pen.), Ramos (88')
Kang-in (15'), Donnarumma (41')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mikautadze (40')
Mikautadze (41'), Veretout (45+2'), Tagliafico (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salzburg 0-3 PSG
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lyon 3-2 Frankfurt
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 Lyon

With two lengthy unbeaten spells on the line this weekend, we are expecting a hard-fought affair between pacesetters PSG and Lyon in the French capital. Les Parisiens found their scoring boots at Salzburg on Tuesday, and with an extra two days of rest under their belts, the hosts should have enough in the tank for victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 60.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 19.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 1-0 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Lyon win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLyon
60.36% (-0.195 -0.2) 20.06% (0.13 0.13) 19.59% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 61.18% (-0.363 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.07% (-0.52499999999999 -0.52)34.93% (0.528 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.09% (-0.589 -0.59)56.91% (0.592 0.59)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.71% (-0.206 -0.21)11.29% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.08% (-0.46000000000001 -0.46)35.93% (0.463 0.46)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.97% (-0.247 -0.25)31.04% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.65% (-0.291 -0.29)67.35% (0.294 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 60.36%
    Lyon 19.59%
    Draw 20.06%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLyon
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.34% (0.081 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.65% (0.139 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.09% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.06% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.15% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.87% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.3% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.26% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.69% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.44% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 60.36%
1-1 @ 8.95% (0.103 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.51% (0.093 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.06%
1-2 @ 5.23% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.1% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.4% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 19.59%

How you voted: PSG vs Lyon

Paris Saint-Germain
64.4%
Draw
16.9%
Lyon
18.6%
59
Head to Head
May 25, 2024 8pm
Final
Lyon
1-2
PSG
O'Brien (55')
Caleta-Car (45+2'), Tagliafico (88')
Dembele (22'), Ruiz (34')
Dembele (88')
Apr 21, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 30
PSG
4-1
Lyon
Matic (3' og.), Beraldo (6'), Ramos (32', 42')
Nuamah (37')
Sep 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Lyon
1-4
PSG
Tolisso (74' pen.)
Tolisso (3'), Maitland-Niles (58')
Mbappe (4' pen., 45+2'), Hakimi (20'), Asensio (38')
Hernandez (48'), Zaire-Emery (73')
Apr 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
PSG
0-1
Lyon
Barcola (56')
Sep 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Lyon
0-1
PSG
Messi (5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG31246184315378
2Marseille31184966432358
3Lille31168749321756
4MonacoMonaco31167858362255
5Lyon31166962422054
6Nice31159759392054
7StrasbourgStrasbourg31159751381354
8Lens31136123537-245
9Brest31135134953-444
10Auxerre31118124545041
11Rennes31122174644238
12Toulouse3198143839-135
13Reims3189143242-1033
14NantesNantes31711133550-1532
15Angers3186172950-2130
16Le HavreLe Havre3184193465-3128
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3176183471-3727
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3144232271-4916


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!