Angers
Angers
AJ Auxerre
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Brest logo
Le Havre
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lens logo
Lille
Lille
Lyon
Lyon
Marseille
Marseille
Monaco
Monaco
Montpellier
Montpellier
Nantes
Nantes
Nice
Nice
PSG logo
PSG logo
Reims
Reims
Rennes
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
PSG logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Nov 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Toulouse

PSG
3 - 0
Toulouse

Neves (35'), Beraldo (84'), Vitinha (90+1')
Hakimi (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Aboukhlal (43'), Donnum (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Angers 2-4 PSG
Saturday, November 9 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 0-2 Toulouse
Sunday, November 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 15.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawToulouse
63.51% (-1.247 -1.25)20.54% (0.731 0.73)15.95% (0.523 0.52)
Both teams to score 51.92% (-1.261 -1.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.44% (-2.28 -2.28)43.56% (2.286 2.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.05% (-2.279 -2.28)65.95% (2.284 2.28)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.94% (-1.045 -1.05)13.06% (1.05 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.37% (-2.173 -2.17)39.63% (2.178 2.18)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.71% (-0.721 -0.72)40.29% (0.72499999999999 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.09% (-0.662 -0.66)76.91% (0.667 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 63.5%
    Toulouse 15.95%
    Draw 20.54%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawToulouse
2-0 @ 10.9% (0.23 0.23)
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.64 0.64)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.4% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-1 @ 6.73% (-0.266 -0.27)
4-0 @ 3.77% (-0.23 -0.23)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.282 -0.28)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.162 -0.16)
5-0 @ 1.53% (-0.161 -0.16)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.177 -0.18)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 63.5%
1-1 @ 9.74% (0.399 0.4)
0-0 @ 5.26% (0.509 0.51)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.54%
0-1 @ 4.78% (0.377 0.38)
1-2 @ 4.43% (0.096 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.17% (0.132 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 15.95%

How you voted: PSG vs Toulouse

Paris Saint-Germain
87.9%
Draw
9.3%
Toulouse
2.8%
107
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 33
PSG
1-3
Toulouse
Mbappe (8')
Dallinga (13'), Gboho (68'), Magri (90+5')
Jan 3, 2024 7.45pm
Final
PSG
2-0
Toulouse
Kang-in (3'), Mbappe (44')
Vitinha (46'), Hernandez (77')

Suazo (45+1')
Aug 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 2
Toulouse
1-1
PSG
Aboukhlal (87' pen.)
Mbappe (62' pen.)
Kang-in (45+1'), Ugarte (81'), Donnarumma (85')
Feb 4, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 22
PSG
2-1
Toulouse
Hakimi (38'), Messi (58')
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Toulouse
0-3
PSG

Ratao (64')
Neymar (37'), Mbappe (50'), Bernat (90')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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