Angers
Angers
AJ Auxerre
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Brest logo
Le Havre
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lens logo
Lille
Lille
Lyon
Lyon
Marseille
Marseille
Monaco
Monaco
Montpellier
Montpellier
Nantes
Nantes
Nice
Nice
PSG logo
PSG logo
Reims
Reims
Rennes
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 29, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Lyon

Toulouse
1 - 2
Lyon

Gboho (14', 14')
Donnum (58'), Casseres Jr (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Nicolaisen (28' og.), Fofana (90+5')
Veretout (10'), Caleta-Car (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 2-0 Toulouse
Sunday, September 22 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 2-0 Olympiacos
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lyon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lyon.

Result
ToulouseDrawLyon
36.69% (-0.363 -0.36)25.69% (0.115 0.11)37.62% (0.248 0.25)
Both teams to score 55.32% (-0.408 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.21% (-0.52 -0.52)48.78% (0.519 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.11% (-0.472 -0.47)70.88% (0.473 0.47)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.12% (-0.444 -0.44)25.88% (0.444 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.14% (-0.605 -0.61)60.86% (0.604 0.6)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)25.36% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84% (-0.142 -0.14)60.16% (0.142 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 36.69%
    Lyon 37.62%
    Draw 25.69%
ToulouseDrawLyon
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.077 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 36.69%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.56% (0.139 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 9% (0.165 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.18% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.82% (0.035 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.62%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Lyon

Toulouse
24.6%
Draw
18.0%
Lyon
57.4%
61
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 26
Toulouse
2-3
Lyon
Dallinga (53'), Sierro (59' pen.)
Spierings (43'), Donnum (45+2')
Lacazette (33'), Cherki (77'), O'Brien (81')
Tolisso (37'), Mata (45+1')
Dec 10, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 15
Lyon
3-0
Toulouse
Lacazette (25', 29', 80')
Diawara (68'), Moreira (87')

Magri (25'), Sierro (41'), Donnum (63'), Diarra (79')
Apr 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
Toulouse
1-2
Lyon
Aboukhlal (37')
Lacazette (34' pen.), Costa (88' og.)
Oct 7, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 10
Lyon
1-1
Toulouse
Tete (2')
Ratao (67')
Jan 26, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 21
Lyon
3-0
Toulouse
Cornet (29'), Dembele (71'), Toko Ekambi (77')

Vainqueur (46')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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