Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.76%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
| 47.8% ( | 22.4% ( | 29.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.56% ( | 35.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.52% ( | 57.48% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.72% ( | 15.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56% ( | 44% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.47% ( | 23.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.43% ( | 57.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 9.18% 1-0 @ 6.76% ( 2-0 @ 6.34% ( 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 3-2 @ 4.16% ( 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 4-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 3.17% Total : 47.8% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 2-2 @ 6.64% ( 0-0 @ 3.6% ( 3-3 @ 2.01% ( Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.4% | 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0-1 @ 5.2% ( 0-2 @ 3.77% ( 1-3 @ 3.41% ( 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 2-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.81% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
| 2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
| 6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
| 8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
| 16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
| R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
| R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
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