Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5

Sep 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Gerard Houllier

Lyon
2 - 3
Marseille

Caleta-Car (53'), Cherki (90+3')
Mata (45+1'), Lacazette (59'), Caleta-Car (90+3'), Cherki (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lirola (69'), Garcia (82'), Rowe (90+5')
Balerdi (1'), De Zerbi (45+8'), Maupay (90+3')
Balerdi (5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lens 0-0 Lyon
Sunday, September 15 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 2-0 Nice
Saturday, September 14 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Marseille
34.37% ( 0.13)	24.21% ( -0.01)	41.41% ( -0.11)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Paris Saint-Germain PSG	34	26	6	2	92	35	57	84
2	Marseille	34	20	5	9	74	47	27	65
3	Monaco Monaco	34	18	7	9	63	41	22	61
4	Nice	34	17	9	8	66	41	25	60
5	Lille	34	17	9	8	52	36	16	60
6	Lyon	34	17	6	11	65	46	19	57
7	Strasbourg Strasbourg	34	16	9	9	56	44	12	57
8	Lens	34	15	7	12	42	39	3	52
9	Brest	34	15	5	14	52	59	-7	50
10	Toulouse	34	11	9	14	44	43	1	42
11	Auxerre	34	11	9	14	48	51	-3	42
12	Rennes	34	13	2	19	51	50	1	41
13	Nantes Nantes	34	8	12	14	39	52	-13	36
14	Angers	34	10	6	18	32	53	-21	36
15	Le Havre Le Havre	34	10	4	20	40	71	-31	34
16	Reims	34	8	9	17	33	47	-14	33
R	Saint-Etienne St Etienne	34	8	6	20	39	77	-38	30
R	Montpellier HSC Montpellier	34	4	4	26	23	79	-56	16
					> Ligue 1 Full Table

Lyon	Draw	Marseille
2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 34.37%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.21%	1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 41.41%

Ligue 1

Lyon2 - 3Marseille

The Match

Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

Marseille

Data Analysis

How you voted: Lyon vs Marseille

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