Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 78.35%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 8.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.58%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.