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Ligue 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Jan 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadium Municipal
AC Ajaccio
Toulouse
2 - 0
Ajaccio
Ratao (46'), Dejaegere (62')
van den Boomen (37'), Dejaegere (56'), Dallinga (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Moussiti-Oko (78')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 6-1 Toulouse
Thursday, December 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-0 Angers
Wednesday, December 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 1-1 Ajaccio

 The home team might be a little shell-shocked given what happened to them earlier this week at the hands of Marseille. Fortunately, they are facing a team with less quality than OM, so they should have an easier time containing Ajaccio, who are more known for their defending than attacking. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawAjaccio
44.98% (-0.149 -0.15) 25.92% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 29.1% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 52.19% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.23% (-0.282 -0.28)51.76% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.47% (-0.246 -0.25)73.53% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (-0.193 -0.19)22.95% (0.185 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28% (-0.28 -0.28)56.72% (0.272 0.27)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)32.27% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.23% (-0.109 -0.11)68.77% (0.102 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 44.98%
    Ajaccio 29.1%
    Draw 25.91%
ToulouseDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.02%
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 44.98%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.081 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.071 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.74% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 29.1%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Ajaccio

Toulouse
37.5%
Draw
43.8%
Ajaccio
18.8%
48
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 6pm
Ajaccio
1-0
Toulouse
Nouri (28' pen.)

Costa (27')
Jul 24, 2021 6pm
Toulouse
2-2
Ajaccio
Healey (33'), Kalulu (54' og.)
Healey (50')
Adli (90+5')
Laci (35', 59')
Vidal (10'), Youssouf (13'), Huard (40'), Leroy (77'), Avinel (90+4')
Vidal (38')
Feb 15, 2021 7.45pm
Toulouse
3-0
Ajaccio
Machado (27'), Adli (86'), Issouf Bayo (90+1')
Gabrielsen (47'), Adli (85')

Coutadeur (62')
Oct 17, 2020 6pm
Ajaccio
0-1
Toulouse

Huard (29'), Laci (37'), Avinel (52'), Kalulu (87'), Barreto (90')
Kalulu (90+2')
Spierings (87' pen.)
Spierings (10'), Sanna (38'), Dejaegere (54')
Antiste (8')
May 27, 2018 8pm
Final
Toulouse
1-0
Ajaccio
Durmaz (88')

Vialla (43'), Boe-Kane (84')
> Match Report
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG37274687375085
2Lens37249465283781
3Marseille37227867392873
4Lille37199964432166
5Rennes372051267382965
6MonacoMonaco371981069561365
7Lyon371881164442062
8Clermont37168134247-556
9Nice371413104536955
10Lorient371410135052-252
11Reims371215104442251
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier37145186261147
13Toulouse37129164956-745
14Brest371111154352-944
15StrasbourgStrasbourg37913155057-740
16Auxerre37811183460-2635
17NantesNantes37615163655-1933
RTroyes37411224480-3623
RAjaccio3765262274-5223
RAngers3746273380-4718
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