Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 41.99%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Ajaccio |
41.99% (![]() | 29.01% (![]() | 29% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.4% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.07% (![]() | 62.93% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.58% (![]() | 82.42% (![]() |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.37% (![]() | 29.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.33% (![]() | 65.67% (![]() |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.67% (![]() | 38.33% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.91% (![]() | 75.09% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Ajaccio |
1-0 @ 13.81% 2-0 @ 8.4% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.06% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.27% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.04% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 1.44% Total : 41.99% | 1-1 @ 13.24% (![]() 0-0 @ 11.35% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.86% ( ![]() Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.99% | 0-1 @ 10.88% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.35% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.22% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.24% ( ![]() Other @ 1.61% Total : 28.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 80 | 26 | 54 | 74 |
2 | Marseille | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 52 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 54 | 35 | 19 | 50 |
4 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 49 |
5 | Lyon | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 48 |
6 | Nice | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 47 |
7 | Lille | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 47 |
8 | Brest | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 43 |
9 | Lens | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Auxerre | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 38 |
11 | Toulouse | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 34 |
12 | Rennes | 28 | 10 | 2 | 16 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 32 |
13 | NantesNantes | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 30 |
14 | Angers | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 27 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 28 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 27 |
16 | Reims | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 26 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 64 | -36 | 23 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 28 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |