Reims are missing a number of key players here and Troyes appear to be hitting good form at the right time, so all the signs point to a convincing home win.
Troyes are yet to keep a clean sheet this season and with the likes of Junya Ito and Folarin Balogun in attack, Reims have enough potency to cause Troyes a few problems. It will however be a huge ask for Reims to take anything from this game.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Reims had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
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