Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.