Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 47.05%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.