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Ligue 1
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
AC Ajaccio
Montpellier
2 - 0
Ajaccio
Nordin (28'), Wahi (77')
Ferri (42'), Sacko (52')
Omlin (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hamouma (20'), Gonzalez (72'), Spadanuda (75')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

Last Six:
Last Game: Brest 0-7 Montpellier
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Ajaccio

Last Six:
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-3 Lille
Friday, August 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 3-1 Ajaccio

 Montpellier will be in supremely confident mood after beating Brest 7-0 in the weekend, and we think that they will cruise past an Ajaccio side, who are winless in their opening four matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawAjaccio
45.8% (0.023999999999994 0.02) 26.84% (-0.029 -0.03) 27.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.32% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.76% (0.10899999999999 0.11)56.23% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.72% (0.088999999999999 0.09)77.28% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.5% (0.060000000000002 0.06)24.5% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.04% (0.082999999999998 0.08)58.96% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64% (0.064 0.06)36% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.22% (0.065999999999999 0.07)72.77% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 45.8%
    Ajaccio 27.35%
    Draw 26.84%
Montpellier HSCDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 12.4% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 45.8%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.82% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.84%
0-1 @ 9.01% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.48% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 27.35%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Ajaccio

Montpellier HSC
84.1%
Draw
4.5%
Ajaccio
11.4%
44
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2014 7pm
Montpellier
0-1
Ajaccio
Madri (44')
Abergel (37')
Feb 22, 2014 7pm
Montpellier
2-0
Ajaccio
Mounier (55'), Cabella (90')
Deplagne (76')

Tonucci (82')
> Match Report
Sep 29, 2013 4pm
Ajaccio
1-1
Montpellier
Zubar (36')
Zubar (24'), Popescu (56')
Goncalves (9')
Cabella (10' pen.)
Jebbour (18'), Camara (62')
Jebbour (38')
> Match Report
Apr 27, 2013 7pm
Ajaccio
2-1
Montpellier
Oliech (90'), Delorte (82' pen.)
Mutu (17'), Lasne (73')
Diawara (47')
Mounier (56')
Belhanda (60')
El Kaoutari (81')
> Match Report
Dec 8, 2012 7pm
Montpellier
3-0
Ajaccio
Utaka (28'), Belhanda (67'), Cabella (32')
Pitau (16')

Bouhours (23'), Faty (48')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG37274687375085
2Lens37249465283781
3Marseille37227867392873
4Lille37199964432166
5Rennes372051267382965
6MonacoMonaco371981069561365
7Lyon371881164442062
8Clermont37168134247-556
9Nice371413104536955
10Lorient371410135052-252
11Reims371215104442251
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier37145186261147
13Toulouse37129164956-745
14Brest371111154352-944
15StrasbourgStrasbourg37913155057-740
16Auxerre37811183460-2635
17NantesNantes37615163655-1933
RTroyes37411224480-3623
RAjaccio3765262274-5223
RAngers3746273380-4718
> Ligue 1 Full Table
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