Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 1-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.