All of Strasbourg's matches this season have seen three goals or fewer, plus they have rarely looked much of an attacking threat.
Without Ajorque and Thomasson, this will have an even greater adverse effect on the team, while Rennes are welcoming back players like Doku, who can be a real difference-maker.
Rennes have only failed to score once this season, and despite some underwhelming away form, they should be able to see off a side low on confidence.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
0.17) 
-0.25) 
