

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 7 | 21 | 19 |
| 2 | Marseille | 7 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | Lorient | 8 | 5 | 19 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Montpellier HSC | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 8 | Rennes | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | Monaco | 7 | -2 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Rennes |
| 42.54% ( | 25.53% ( | 31.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.04% ( | 48.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.96% ( | 71.04% ( |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% ( | 22.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.34% ( | 56.65% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% ( | 28.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.27% ( | 64.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 3-1 @ 4.38% ( 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 4-2 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.54% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 3-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 1-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
| 2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
| 3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
| 4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
| 5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
| 6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
| 7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
| 8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
| 9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
| 11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
| R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
| R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
| R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
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